AI

The Harness Is the New Battleground

The system around the model, not the model itself, is where the next generation of AI advantage will be won. What Grok Build's codebase-upload incident reveals about the harness.

The Harness Is the New Battleground

The AI Colander

AI is like a colander. Customers pour in, & many pour out. Retention lands between a mobile game & a social network, while the price of intelligence keeps falling.

The AI Colander

Three Years In

How AI reshaped the software stack, venture stage definitions, and the firms that win over three years.

Three Years In

8.9 Million AI Users

Ollama has become the largest developer platform for open models, with 8.9m developers & one million new installs each week. Today we announced our investment in the Series B.

8.9 Million AI Users

The AI Preflight Check

An agent that forgets mid-sentence isn't a context-size problem. It's a memory-architecture problem. A preflight step, a skills library, & a watchdog fix it.

The AI Preflight Check

The $10B FDE Boom

Forward-deployed engineering has gone from a Palantir signature to an industry default. The total bill : nearly $10b in 12 months.

The $10B FDE Boom

AI Worldviews

The Economist put 25 frontier AI models through the World Values Survey. The variance is real, the obvious groupings don't hold, & worldview may be the next line item on an AI RFP.

AI Worldviews

Most AI Work Can Wait

Prioritize routing over model choice. Most AI work runs on cheap local models.

Most AI Work Can Wait

When AI Costs More Than the Engineer

Anthropic spends 2.3x payroll on compute. Top software firms spend 0.4x. Three scenarios for where the rest of the market lands by 2029.

When AI Costs More Than the Engineer

Full Sail on Asynchronous Inference

The inference market is the largest in software. We invested in Sail's Series A to build queuing infrastructure for long-horizon agents that run for hours.

Full Sail on Asynchronous Inference