Ai

AI Comes for the If Statement

Machine-native models replace human-facing text generation with zero-token typed execution, cutting inference costs by orders of magnitude for basic programming primitives.

AI Comes for the If Statement

The Harness Margin Opportunity

New Berkeley data shows the right harness cuts the cost of the same result by 71% with no loss of accuracy. Two startups selling that result at the same price can earn 38% or 75% gross margins. The harness decides which.

The Harness Margin Opportunity

When Inbound Sells Itself

Vercel took its inbound SDR team from 10 to 1.25, automated 90% of sales development, & runs the whole thing for single-digit thousands a year. The SDR function is being absorbed into the workflow.

When Inbound Sells Itself

What Does Pacing Mean?

Dario Amodei asked the industry to pace itself. Five camps answered, each with a price for what a pause would cost & none with a number for how long it should last.

What Does Pacing Mean?

The Three Waves of AI Consumption

On February 6, 2026, agents consumed more tokens than humans & never gave the lead back. AI consumption arrives in three waves, each an order of magnitude larger than the last, driven by parallelization rather than faster models.

Concrete, Silicon, & Leverage

AI data center buildouts will require an estimated $4t in debt financing over the next five years. Here is how that credit demand compares as a percentage of global debt markets.

Concrete, Silicon, & Leverage

The Ads Model for Prompts Vertically Integrates AI

Meta's dual-tier AI pricing introduces an explicit barter : a 92% discount on inference in exchange for your data. Applying Michael Mauboussin's insight that prices contain information reveals the clearing price of prompt data : $1.24 per million tokens.

The Ads Model for Prompts Vertically Integrates AI

The Price of Entry to the Frontier

The frontier AI market is picking teams like a schoolyard : Salesforce chose Anthropic, OpenAI expelled Cursor, & governments ration who may use the frontier. Even the open weights now segment.

The Price of Entry to the Frontier