Ai

The Price of Entry to the Frontier

The frontier AI market is picking teams like a schoolyard : Salesforce chose Anthropic, OpenAI expelled Cursor, & governments ration who may use the frontier. Even the open weights now segment.

The Price of Entry to the Frontier

NVIDIA's $108b Quarter

NVIDIA guided Q3 to $108b, but hyperscaler growth slowed to 13% sequentially. The buyers making up the difference need financing, so DSO jumped 15 days to 60 & the commitment stack reached $581b including a $101b equity portfolio in its own customers.

NVIDIA's $108b Quarter

How Long Should an AI Agent Live?

Should a calendar agent run for your entire five-year company tenure or reset every day? Why perpetual sessions fail & how to design agent lifespans.

How Long Should an AI Agent Live?

The AI Bullwhip

AI infrastructure shortages do not hit simultaneously. They cascade in multi-year waves across the server rack & into the physical grid : GPUs in 2023, memory & flash in 2024–2025, CPUs in late 2025, spinning disk in 2026, & data centers at $20b per gigawatt.

The AI Bullwhip

Previously Unmanufacturable

Software's hidden cost is learning its grammar. AI lets a founder speak English & use CAD to make a dress once previously unmanufacturable.

Previously Unmanufacturable

Birds Don't Fly Like Planes. Neither Does AI.

A local model that generates tokens 2.2x faster than the incumbent finished later in wall-clock, because it emitted 3.1x more tokens. Tokens per second is the wrong metric. Time to answer is the right one.

Birds Don't Fly Like Planes. Neither Does AI.